Ferencvaros

4 - 1

Malmo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.