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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Greece national football team

Finland
0 - 2
Greece


Pikkarainen (4'), Alho (10'), Ivanov (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakasetas (52'), Tzolis (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Finland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Greece 0-3 England
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Finland 0-2 Greece

 Greece were not bereft of opportunities in the final third during their loss to England - they were simply outclassed by the more superior attacking unit - and Jovanovic's team should have no trouble flexing their muscles in Finland. The relegated hosts could be forgiven for taking their foot off the pedal and conserving their energy for the return of domestic football, but even if Greece prevail as expected, it should not be enough to pip England to the coveted automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Greece had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match.

Result
FinlandDrawGreece
38.36% (1.003 1) 26.29% (0.125 0.13) 35.36% (-1.13 -1.13)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.611 -0.61)51.48% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.533 -0.53)73.29% (0.532 0.53)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.277 0.28)26.2% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.369 0.37)61.3% (-0.372 -0.37)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.962 -0.96)27.94% (0.96 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-1.241 -1.24)63.57% (1.239 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Finland 38.36%
    Greece 35.36%
    Draw 26.29%
FinlandDrawGreece
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.36%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.36%

How you voted: Finland vs Greece

Finland
16.8%
Draw
12.4%
Greece
70.8%
137
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Greece
3-0
Finland
Ioannidis (23', 76'), Kallman (37' og.)
Koulierakis (51'), Konstantelias (67'), Zafeiris (90+3')

Kallman (25'), Peltola (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Greece
2-1
Finland
Mantalos (47'), Galanopoulos (70')
Kourbelis (34')
Pukki (27')
Toivio (31'), Kauko (71')
Sep 5, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Finland
1-0
Greece
Pukki (52' pen.)
Sparv (57'), Kamara (72')

Torosidis (39'), Kourbelis (45'), Pelkas (66'), Pavlidis (92')
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Greece
1-0
Finland
Granlund (25' og.)

Granlund (47')
Oct 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Finland
2-0
Greece
Soiri (46'), Kamara (89')

Manolas (74')
rhs 2.0
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