Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Zabrze
Gornik2 - 1Lech Poznan
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Lech Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-4 Gornik
Sunday, December 1 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, December 1 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Lech Poznan
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Lech Poznan |
37.94% ( -0.42) | 26.05% ( -0.2) | 36.02% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
