Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Korona Kielce
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Gornik
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lech Poznan | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
52.1% ( -0.5) | 23.54% ( -0.03) | 24.36% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.91% ( 0.66) | 45.09% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.57% ( 0.63) | 67.43% ( -0.63) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.06) | 17.31% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.33% ( 0.11) | 47.67% ( -0.11) |
Gornik Zabrze Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% ( 0.81) | 32.46% ( -0.82) |