We said: Greece 2-0 Republic of Ireland
With all due respect to Finland, the Scandinavian side have been leaky at the back for a good 12 months now, and a Greece outfit in Piraeus are a much different kettle of fish for the Boys in Green.
As a result, we can only envisage Jovanovic's men making it four for four as they edge ever closer to a coveted spot in the top tier of the Nations League.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.
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