This one is difficult to call due to both sides' mediocre starts to the new campaign. However, the smart bet is on Gremio to record their seventh straight win over Fluminense, having outscored the visitors 9-3 in the previous six encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Fluminense
49.01% ( -0.29)	26.4% ( 0.05)	24.6% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.64% (

-0.02)

56.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62% (

-0.01)

77.39% (

0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

-0.14)

23.06% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

-0.21)

56.89% (

0.21)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.56% (

0.21)

38.44% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81% (

0.2)

75.19% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Gremio 49%

Fluminense 24.6%

Draw 26.4%

Gremio	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 49%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.6%

How you voted: Gremio vs Fluminense

Gremio

60.0%

Draw

20.0%

Fluminense

20.0%

Head to Head

Dec 7, 2023 12.30am

Gameweek 38

Fluminense

2-3

Gremio

Arias (34' pen.), Kennedy (81')
Andre (36'), Nino (45+5'), Kennedy (72')

Suarez (43', 64'), Galdino (45')
Ely (32'), Reinaldo (36'), Kannemann (45+4')

Aug 13, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 19

Gremio

2-1

Fluminense

Bitello (25'), Ferreira (45+1')
Villasanti (42'), Da Silva (46'), Suarez (82')

Cano (19')
Santos (27'), Xavier (30'), Diniz (32'), Danielzinho (57'), Andre (73')

Nov 10, 2021 12.30am

Gameweek 31

Gremio

1-0

Fluminense

> Preview

Jul 18, 2021 1am

Gameweek 12

Fluminense

0-1

Gremio

Lucca (77')

Henrique (42'), Kannemann (46'), Pyerre (90+8')

> Preview

Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm

Gameweek 20

Fluminense

0-1

Gremio

Pepe (28')
(90+5')

Form Guide

Atletico GO 1-1 Gremio

Gremio 0-1 Internacional

Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio

Gremio 1-2 Botafogo

Flamengo 2-1 Gremio

Gremio 1-1 Estudiantes

Fluminense 0-1 Vitoria

Fluminense 0-1 Flamengo

Cruzeiro 2-0 Fluminense

Fluminense 1-2 Atletico GO

Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense

Fluminense 1-1 Juventude

Latest Sports Headlines

Latest Preview Articles

Gremio
1 - 0
Fluminense