Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Fluminense |
43.66% ( 0.02) | 25.52% ( -0.01) | 30.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
