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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
72.91% ( -0.19) | 15.85% ( 0.11) | 11.23% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.54% ( -0.32) | 32.46% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.9% ( -0.37) | 54.1% ( 0.37) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.29% ( -0.11) | 7.7% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.55% ( -0.29) | 27.44% ( 0.29) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.99% ( -0.08) | 40% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.34% ( -0.07) | 76.66% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 72.9% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.85% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |