Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
49.41% | 24.25% ( -0) | 26.34% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.53% ( 0.02) | 46.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.25% ( 0.02) | 68.75% ( -0.01) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( 0.01) | 18.86% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% ( 0.01) | 50.33% ( -0.01) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( 0.01) | 31.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% ( 0.01) | 68% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.41% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |