Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
52.59% ( -0.3) | 23.71% ( 0.05) | 23.69% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( 0.03) | 46.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( 0.03) | 68.79% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% ( -0.1) | 17.65% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.73% ( -0.17) | 48.27% ( 0.18) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.24) | 33.82% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% ( 0.26) | 70.48% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |