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Conference League | League Stage
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Miejski
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Jagiellonia
0 - 0
Ljubljana


Sacek (32'), Pululu (38'), Nguiamba (82')
FT

Brest (17'), Blanco (28'), Silva (85'), Boultam (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and NK Olimpija Ljubljana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ljubljana 1-4 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

We said: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Losing for the first time since the middle of September last week, Jagiellonia will be raring to get back to winning ways on home soil to book their spot in the last 16. Olimpija Ljubljana realistically require maximum points in Poland to have any chance of making the top eight, but we feel that the Dragons will suffer a narrow defeat at Chorten Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
36.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.86%37.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.58%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)60.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 36.95%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 37.18%
    Draw 25.86%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.18%

How you voted: Jagiellonia vs Ljubljana

Jagiellonia Bialystok
85.7%
Draw
12.5%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
1.8%
56
rhs 2.0
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