Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.