Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus3 - 1LDU Quito
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 C. Cordoba
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-2 Lanus
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Lanus 2-1 LDU Quito (Lanus advances 4-2 on aggregate)
Lanus picked up an important victory on the road in the first leg, which sets them up well to take advantage of LDU Quito's need to attack, while they will also be boosted by home support, which could prove too much for the visitors to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | LDU Quito |
51.62% ( 0.09) | 25.5% ( 0.08) | 22.88% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
