Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus5 - 0Metropolitanos
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Metropolitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
Result | ||
Lanus | Draw | Metropolitanos |
67.82% ( -0.19) | 20.02% ( 0.05) | 12.16% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 43.71% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( 0.13) | 49.28% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( 0.11) | 71.33% ( -0.11) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( -0.02) | 13.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% ( -0.03) | 40.63% ( 0.03) |
Metropolitanos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.56% ( 0.32) | 49.43% ( -0.32) |