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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Blackburn logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Blackburn

Struijk (88' pen.)
Tanaka (90+6'), Aaronson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Batth (90')
Eustace (0'), Baker (40'), Batth (90+10'), Pears (90+11'), Weimann (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, December 29 at 5.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Hull City
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Though Leeds did lose in the reverse fixture, their excellent form of late should make them strong favourites on Wednesday. Additionally, Blackburn have not been prolific in the final third this campaign, and they could be overcome by the hosts' fervent home support. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 9.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 3-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
74.16% (-1.049 -1.05) 16.54% (0.589 0.59) 9.3% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 44.9% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98% (-1.244 -1.24)42.01% (1.243 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (-1.262 -1.26)64.41% (1.26 1.26)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22% (-0.56700000000001 -0.57)9.78% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.49% (-1.334 -1.33)32.51% (1.332 1.33)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.76% (0.169 0.17)50.23% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (0.118 0.12)84.82% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 74.14%
    Blackburn Rovers 9.3%
    Draw 16.54%
Leeds UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-0 @ 13.27% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.34 0.34)
3-0 @ 10.29% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 5.98% (-0.275 -0.27)
4-1 @ 4.12% (-0.169 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.78% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.05 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 74.14%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.276 0.28)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 16.54%
0-1 @ 3.38% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 2.71% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.16% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9.3%

How you voted: Leeds vs Blackburn

Leeds United
84.0%
Draw
7.4%
Blackburn Rovers
8.6%
81
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 18
Blackburn
1-0
Leeds
Cantwell (22' pen.)
Travis (54'), Dolan (62')

Bogle (23'), Ramazani (73')
Apr 13, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 43
Leeds
0-1
Blackburn

Fernandez (90+7')
Szmodics (82')
Carter (28'), Dolan (42'), Tronstad (47'), Pears (85')
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
0-2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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