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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Leeds


Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (42', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-3 Leeds United

Despite the fact that Stoke have not often lost at home, they are in dire form and have been porous in their defensive third. Additionally, Leeds have been outstanding recently, and it would not be surprising if they piled further misery on their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
21.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 22.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 55.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.2% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.03% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)65.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)33.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)70.32% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)43.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 21.72%
    Leeds United 55.85%
    Draw 22.42%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.85%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
13.5%
Leeds United
64.9%
74
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
(Aggregate 2-2 | Stoke win 5-4 on penalties)
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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