Conference League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia1 - 2Lugano
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Legia Warsaw and Lugano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 Legia
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Luzern 1-4 Lugano
Saturday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Lugano |
44.14% ( -0.01) | 24.43% ( 0) | 31.44% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.38% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.37% ( -0.01) | 66.63% ( 0) |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( -0.01) | 20.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.52% ( -0.01) | 52.48% ( 0.01) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( 0) | 26.86% ( -0) |