Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia4 - 1Radomiak Radom
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Radomiak Radom.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Gornik
Friday, August 9 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, August 9 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
Result | ||
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
51.65% ( 0.18) | 24.36% ( -0.03) | 23.99% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.03% ( -0.01) | 48.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.95% ( -0.01) | 71.05% ( 0.01) |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.05% ( 0.06) | 18.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.54% ( 0.11) | 50.46% ( -0.11) |
Radomiak Radom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% ( -0.14) | 34.9% ( 0.14) |