Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.
-0.12) 
0.16) 
