Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Lens |
33.52% ( 0.15) | 27.09% ( -0.02) | 39.39% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( 0.09) | 54.99% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( 0.07) | 76.26% ( -0.07) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( 0.14) | 30.83% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( 0.17) | 67.1% ( -0.17) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( -0.03) | 27.26% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( -0.04) | 62.7% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |