Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.88% ( 1.03) | 26.9% ( 0.2) | 32.22% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.49% ( -1.07) | 54.51% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.13% ( -0.89) | 75.86% ( 0.89) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.06) | 26.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 0.09) | 61.32% ( -0.09) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -1.36) | 31.45% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.16% ( -1.6) | 67.84% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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