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Livingston logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Dunfermline Athletic

Livingston
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Muirhead (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Benedictus (83')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Livingston and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Forfar 0-2 Livingston
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Forfar
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawDunfermline Athletic
34.59% (-1.727 -1.73) 25.14% (0.262 0.26) 40.26% (1.466 1.47)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-1.192 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (-1.432 -1.43)46.56% (1.435 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.359 -1.36)68.83% (1.361 1.36)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (-1.652 -1.65)26.04% (1.655 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-2.275 -2.28)61.08% (2.279 2.28)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.108 0.11)22.97% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.158 0.16)56.76% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 34.59%
    Dunfermline Athletic 40.26%
    Draw 25.13%
LivingstonDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.354 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.547 0.55)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.169 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.421 0.42)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.216 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.26%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2018 7.45pm
Dunfermline
1-0
Livingston
Ashcroft (11')
Beadling (20'), McManus (65')

Pittman (45'), Jacobs (86')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Livingston
0-0
Dunfermline
Byrne (24')
Thompson (70')
M'voto (34'), Beadling (40'), Vincent (42')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Dunfermline
3-1
Livingston
Higginbotham (2', 38'), Aird (30')
Mullen (87')
Gallagher (47'), Penrice (67'), Byrne (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Livingston
1-1
Dunfermline
Pittman (30')
Mullen (44'), Gallagher (79'), Longridge (89')
Higginbotham (63' pen.)
Mvoto (76'), Cardle (78')
rhs 2.0
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