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Champions League
Ludogorets
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Qarabag

Ludogorets
2 - 7
Qarabag

Duah (13', 23' pen.)
Chochev (58'), Rick (89'), Benzia (90+3'), Nedyalkov (108')
FT
(aet)
Juninho (7'), Benzia (45+1' pen., 118'), Andrade (45+5', 112'), Bayramov (93'), Xhixha (110')
Mustafazada (28'), Silva (54'), Richard (54'), Vesovic (58'), Romao (85'), Duarte (87'), Nedyalkov (104')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Qarabag 1-2 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Next Game: APOEL vs. Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Qarabag FK

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qarabag 1-2 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Next Game: APOEL vs. Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We say: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 Qarabag FK (Qarabag FK win 4-3 on aggregate)

 Not only do Qarabag have a precious lead to defend in Razgrad, but they can also benefit from years of accrued European experience. Ludogorets are certainly no newcomers to UEFA competition, but they may have to make do with a consolation place in the Europa League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%).

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawQarabag FK
51.7%22.76%25.55%
Both teams to score 59.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56%40.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18%62.82%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24%15.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.13%44.88%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07%64.93%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 51.7%
    Qarabag FK 25.55%
    Draw 22.75%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Qarabag

Ludogorets Razgrad
66.3%
Draw
20.5%
Qarabag FK
13.3%
83
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 5pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Qarabag
1-2
Ludogorets
Juninho (65')
Romao (11'), Juninho (41')
Almeida (56'), Vidal (87')
Verdon (34'), Vidal (45+4'), Duarte (90+3')
Vidal (89')
> Preview
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