MX23RW : Monday, January 20 20:48:03| >> :120:8628:8628:
Qarabag
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Tofik Bakhramov
Ludogorets

Qarabag
1 - 2
Ludogorets

Juninho (65')
Romao (11'), Juninho (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almeida (56'), Vidal (87')
Verdon (34'), Vidal (45+4'), Duarte (90+3')
Vidal (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League qualifier between Qarabag FK and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Qarabag 5-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Ludogorets
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Champions League
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We said: Qarabag FK 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad

As Ludogorets do not tend to travel well in Europe, a tough trip to Tofiq Bahramov Stadium may see their losing streak away from home continue. Vastly experienced, Qarabag are similarly dominant domestically, and their fine Europa League run last term demonstrates just how dangerous they can be. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawLudogorets Razgrad
41.2%24.91%33.89%
Both teams to score 57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35%45.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02%67.97%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51%55.49%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97%26.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93%61.06%
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 41.2%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 33.89%
    Draw 24.91%
Qarabag FKDrawLudogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 8.82%
1-0 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.89%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Ludogorets

Qarabag FK
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Ludogorets Razgrad
4.3%
23
rhs 2.0
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