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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 20, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
3 - 2
PSG

Diani (80'), Dumornay (85'), Majri (86')
Diani (77'), Bompastor (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Katoto (44', 48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

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Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Benfica
Wednesday, March 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Paris Saint-Germain Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: PSG 3-0 BK Hacken
Thursday, March 28 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Lyon Women 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain Women

 PSG may have failed to win their last five games against Lyon, but they went close to claiming an away win in February's meeting, taking the lead before conceding a 90th-minute equaliser. With that game in mind, we think that PSG will do enough to hold Lyon to a draw, especially as they have avoided defeat in each of their last 24 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
56.17% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 22.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 21.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.308 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.326 -0.33)43.41% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (-0.32 -0.32)65.8% (0.327 0.33)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)15.28% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (-0.159 -0.16)43.99% (0.164 0.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-0.298 -0.3)34.18% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.12% (-0.321 -0.32)70.88% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 56.17%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 21.41%
    Draw 22.42%
Lyon WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.77% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon Women
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
PSG
1-2
Lyon
Katoto (62')
Hegerberg (14'), Renard (83')
Bacha (48')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 4pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
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Renard (23' pen.), Macario (33', 50')
Katoto (6'), Dudek (58' pen.)
Geyoro (13'), Baltimore (35'), Karchaoui (63')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2021 1pm
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> Preview
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