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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 24, 2022 at 4pm UK
Groupama OL Training Center

Lyon
3 - 2
PSG

Renard (23' pen.), Macario (33', 50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Katoto (6'), Dudek (58' pen.)
Geyoro (13'), Baltimore (35'), Karchaoui (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Lyon Women 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

The two competitive meetings between the sides this season have resulted in a victory apiece, but we think that the hosts, who have won every home game this season, will emerge from the first leg with a narrow advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.17%) and 3-2 (4.71%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
41.79%21.35%36.85%
Both teams to score 71.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.58%27.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.99%48.01%
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72%14.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92%42.08%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82%16.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.35%45.64%
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 41.79%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 36.85%
    Draw 21.35%
Lyon WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 4.71%
1-0 @ 4.5%
2-0 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.29%
4-3 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.38%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 41.79%
1-1 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 7.26%
3-3 @ 2.86%
0-0 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 4.41%
0-1 @ 4.21%
0-2 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 2.06%
2-4 @ 2.01%
3-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 36.85%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 1pm
Lyon
1-2
PSG
Macario (4'), Grace Geyoro (25'), Renard (61' og.)
Morroni (66'), Henry (73'), Bacha (90')
Mar 24, 2021
5pm
rhs 2.0
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