Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.