Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City4 - 1Aston Villa
Reaction
Phil Foden joins exclusive Premier League club with Manchester City hat-trick
Phil Foden joins an exclusive Premier League club after scoring a superb hat-trick in Manchester City's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa at the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday.
Apr 3, 23:23
Unai Emery offers triple Aston Villa fitness update, explains squad rotation in Man City loss
Unai Emery issues a triple fitness update and explains the reasons behind his decision to make six changes to the Aston Villa side that lost 4-1 at Manchester City on Wednesday.
Apr 4, 01:42
Pep Guardiola gives verdict on when Premier League title race could be decided
Pep Guardiola admits that the three-way Premier League title race between Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal could be decided on the final day of the season.
Apr 4, 01:52
The Match
Match Report
Phil Foden scores a hat-trick as Manchester City cruise to a 4-1 home victory over Aston Villa in the Premier League on Wednesday night.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Arsenal
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
61.76% ( 0.06) | 20.54% ( 0.53) | 17.69% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -3.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
