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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Wolves logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Wolves

Diaby (36'), Konsa (65')
Tielemans (30'), Duran (84'), Digne (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sarabia (19'), Chirewa (81'), Kilman (84'), Gomes (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa strengthen hold of fourth spot in Premier League with 2-0 win over Wolves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
65.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 15.97% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.5% (0.037000000000006 0.04)33.5% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.71% (0.039000000000001 0.04)55.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.012999999999991 0.01)9.57% (-0.0080999999999989 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.01% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.69% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 65.6%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.97%
    Draw 18.43%
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.6%
1-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Wolves

Aston Villa
66.7%
Draw
17.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
16.3%
135
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Wolves
1-1
Aston Villa
Hee-chan (53')
Dawson (28'), Lemina (62'), Semedo (67'), Kalajdzic (90+14')
Lemina (90+4')
Torres (55')
Kamara (6'), McGinn (29')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-1
Wolves
Ings (78')
Podence (12')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wolves
2-1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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