Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.