Ligue 2 | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Francis Turcan
Martigues0 - 1Bastia
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Martigues and Bastia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Martigues | Draw | Bastia |
36.24% ( -0.4) | 27.82% ( 0.05) | 35.95% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.17) | 57.56% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( -0.14) | 78.34% ( 0.14) |
| Martigues Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.33) | 30.37% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.44% ( -0.4) | 66.56% ( 0.4) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( 0.14) | 30.55% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.22% ( 0.16) | 66.78% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Martigues 36.23%
Bastia 35.94%
Draw 27.82%
| Martigues | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.94% |
