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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Moldova national football team
Nations League | League D
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Andorra national football team

Moldova
2 - 0
Andorra

Ionita (31'), Cojocaru (90+5')
Motpan (26'), Baboglo (28'), Mudrac (78'), Craciun (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rosas Ubach (28'), San Nicolas (53'), Vales (88'), Pujol (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Andorra

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Moldova 2-0 Andorra

 Andorra have failed to score in each of their last five matches, and with the visitors struggling to offer an attacking threat, we think that the hosts will take advantage of their opponent's weakness to claim a fifth win in six internationals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 72.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 8.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.7%) and 3-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawAndorra
72.21% (1.132 1.13) 18.9% (-0.798 -0.8) 8.89% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 36.13% (0.825 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (2.007 2.01)53.15% (-2.011 -2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (1.678 1.68)74.72% (-1.682 -1.68)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.971 0.97)13.42% (-0.975 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.62% (1.92 1.92)40.38% (-1.925 -1.93)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.73% (0.49 0.49)58.27% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.26% (0.261 0.26)89.74% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 72.19%
    Andorra 8.89%
    Draw 18.9%
MoldovaDrawAndorra
2-0 @ 15.77% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 15.7% (-0.69 -0.69)
3-0 @ 10.55% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.244 0.24)
4-0 @ 5.3% (0.327 0.33)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.218 0.22)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.201 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 72.19%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.235 -0.23)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.639 -0.64)
2-2 @ 2.3% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.9%
0-1 @ 4.22% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-2 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 8.89%

How you voted: Moldova vs Andorra

Moldova
90.4%
Draw
6.7%
Andorra
2.9%
104
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2022 5pm
League D
Moldova
2-1
Andorra
Caimacov (26' pen.), Nicolaescu (50' pen.)
Caimacov (33'), Rata (79')
Vieira (45+4')
Rubio (25'), Rubio (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
League D
Andorra
0-0
Moldova
Alaez (65'), Garcia Renom (72')
Armas (59'), Dros (65'), Cojocaru (79'), Rata (83')
Stina (43')
> Preview
Mar 26, 2020 5.45pm
Friendlies 2
Moldova
P-P
Andorra
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Andorra
1-0
Moldova
Vales (63')
Rubio (32'), Martinez (45'), Cervos (84')

Ginsari (37'), Cebotaru (40'), Suvorov (76')
Ginsari (55')
Jun 8, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Moldova
1-0
Andorra
Armas (8')
Ionita (38'), Carp (80')
Ionita (47')

Rebes (34'), Lima (94')
rhs 2.0
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