Friendlies 2
Mar 22, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stade Pierre Sauvaigo
N. Macedonia1 - 1Moldova
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 England
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-0 Moldova
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
We said: North Macedonia 2-0 Moldova
Moldova will do well to replicate the heroics of their squad across Euro 2024 qualifying, despite falling short, and the hosts will come into this one as comfortable favourites. Home draws with Italy and England in the past 12 months, as well as scoring twice away to the Azzurri, suggests North Macedonia are still a threat like they were heading into Euro 2020, and they will expect to win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Moldova |
52.05% ( -0.03) | 25.89% ( -0) | 22.06% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
