We said: Montenegro 0-3 Turkey
As toothless as Turkey were up front against Wales, Montella's men should have no trouble breaking down a permeable Montenegro backline, especially one without their two first-choice full-backs.
The return of Jovetic should not inspire a change in attacking fortunes for the hosts either, and Turkey therefore have our vote to seal promotion to League A in style.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.