Wales

1 - 0

Montenegro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.