Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Iceland2 - 4Turkey
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kahveci (62'), Calhanoglu (67' pen.), Guler (88'), Akturkoglu (90+5')
Demiral (35'), Yildiz (57'), Bardakci (71')
Demiral (35'), Yildiz (57'), Bardakci (71')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Wales
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Iceland 1-1 Turkey
After an excellent second-half showing on Friday night, Iceland can take the fight to Turkey and come out of a close-fought contest with at least one point. The visitors' squad is packed with attacking talent, but they do not tend to fare well away from home and may have to settle for a draw at Laugardalsvollur. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Turkey |
43.57% ( 0.05) | 25.74% ( -0.03) | 30.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
