MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 15:46:41| >> :600:780492:780492:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Turkey national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Goztepe Gursel Aksel Stadi (Izmir)
Iceland national football team

Turkey
3 - 1
Iceland

Akturkoglu (2', 52', 88')
Kahveci (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palsson (37')
Leo Gretarsson (44'), Teitur Thordarson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Wales 0-0 Turkey
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Iceland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Turkey 1-1 Iceland

 This is a very intriguing match, as Turkey will be aiming for their first win in the section, but Iceland were impressive last time out. It could go either way, with a narrow victory certainly a possibility, but we are struggling to separate them here and have ultimately settled on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawIceland
61.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.41% (0.095000000000002 0.1) 17.82% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.43% (-0.531 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43% (-0.61 -0.61)39.56% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08% (-0.637 -0.64)61.91% (0.633 0.63)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)12.32% (0.185 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (-0.395 -0.39)38.12% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.468 -0.47)35.63% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.486 -0.49)72.4% (0.48100000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 61.76%
    Iceland 17.82%
    Draw 20.41%
TurkeyDrawIceland
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.132 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 61.76%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.41%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 17.82%

How you voted: Turkey vs Iceland

Turkey
72.4%
Draw
16.4%
Iceland
11.2%
214
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-0
Iceland
Tufan (8'), Yokuslu (82'), Under (91'), Celik (94')
Ingvi Traustason (36'), Sigthorsson (84')
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Iceland
2-1
Turkey
Sigurdsson (21', 32')
Hallfredsson (18'), Bjarnason (72')
Tokoz (40')
Tokoz (23'), Yilmaz (52'), Ayhan (55'), Celik (56')
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-3
Iceland
Gudmundsson (32'), Bjarnason (39'), Arnason (50')
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Iceland
2-0
Turkey
Toprak (42' og.), Finnbogason (44')
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Turkey
1-0
Iceland
Inan (89')
Tosun (86')
Tore (77')

Berg Gudmundsson (23')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!