MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 07:06:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
0 - 1
Monterrey


Arce (62'), Garnica (79'), Oliveros (80')
Garnica (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cortizo (57')
Canales (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Monterrey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 0-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey

 After an excellent result on the weekend, Necaxa should be confident of ending their five-game losing run against Monterrey on Wednesday night. Rayados need to bounce back quickly following a humbling defeat on Sunday, but we feel that Ortiz's troops will fall just short at Estadio Victoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawMonterrey
26.58% (-0.455 -0.46) 25.37% (0.497 0.5) 48.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-1.936 -1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-2.362 -2.36)51.04% (2.365 2.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-2.11 -2.11)72.9% (2.115 2.12)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-1.616 -1.62)33.83% (1.619 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-1.788 -1.79)70.5% (1.791 1.79)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.976 -0.98)21.26% (0.978 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-1.534 -1.53)54.17% (1.536 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 26.58%
    Monterrey 48.04%
    Draw 25.37%
NecaxaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.394 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.58%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.659 0.66)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.71 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.307 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.45% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.04%

How you voted: Necaxa vs Monterrey

Necaxa
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Monterrey
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
2-5
Monterrey
Cambindo (59'), Jurado (90+6')
Mayorga (39'), Fentanes (40'), Arce (74'), Arce (76')
Gudino (78')
Berterame (50'), Canales (52', 64'), Gonzalez (81'), Vazquez (86')
Vegas (41'), Gomez (44')
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
3-0
Necaxa
Vegas (45+1'), Berterame (54'), Lopez (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 11.06pm
Gameweek 8
Monterrey
2-1
Necaxa
Funes Mori (60'), Berterame (90+2')
Mendez (73' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 3am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-2
Monterrey
Garnica (37')
Aguirre (56'), Gonzalez (77')
Jan 15, 2022 3am
Gameweek 2
Necaxa
0-4
Monterrey

Salas (49')
Funes Mori (4'), Meza (23'), Vergara (44'), Gallardo (67')
Vegas (25'), Vergara (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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