Necaxa

2 - 5

Monterrey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.