Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
77.37% ( 0.16) | 13.49% ( -0.07) | 9.14% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.12% ( 0.03) | 26.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.67% ( 0.04) | 47.33% ( -0.04) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.38% ( 0.03) | 5.63% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.19% ( 0.1) | 21.81% ( -0.1) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% ( -0.16) | 39.74% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.59% ( -0.15) | 76.41% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 5.25% Total : 77.37% | 1-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.49% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 9.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 35 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Aston Villa | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Fulham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 14 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 9 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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