Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.