MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 15:59:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 25, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Defensa y Justicia

Newell's OB
1 - 0
Defensa

Mendez (80')
Gonzalez (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bogarin (14'), Aguilera (49'), Marco (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, May 19 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Newell's Old Boys 2-0 Defensa y Justicia

Defensa might have picked up three points the last time these two teams met, but this is going to be a tricky test for them this time around. The poor form that the visitors are bringing into this game coupled with the fact that Newell's OB are at home should lead to them winning. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newell's Old Boys.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
48.31% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 28.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.59% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.04% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.25% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)62.75% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)82.28% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)61.32% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.98% (-0.112 -0.11)43.02% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.69% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)79.3% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 48.3%
    Defensa y Justicia 23.59%
    Draw 28.08%
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.53%
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 48.3%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 23.59%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Defensa
1-0
Newell's OB
Ramos Mingo (65')
Alanis (11')

Gonzalez (14'), Calderara (75'), Fernandez (90+3'), Aguirre (90+5')
Nov 28, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 14
Newell's OB
3-0
Defensa
Gonzalez (29', 62'), Velazquez (55')
Vangioni (64'), Mendez (72'), Chiaverano (90')

Caceres (49'), Lopez (72'), Escalante (90')
Malatini (81')
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Jul 25, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 10
Newell's OB
1-2
Defensa
Garro (90+5')
Sforza (17'), Ditta (31'), Sordo (56'), Perez (59'), Luciano (86'), Lema (90+3')
Fernandez (5'), Duarte (48')
Fontana (12'), Souto (45+1'), Lopez (58')
Feb 11, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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