Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
53.74% ( 0.01) | 24.27% ( -0.01) | 21.99% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.65% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( 0.04) | 50.58% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.04) | 72.49% ( -0.04) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( 0.02) | 18.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( 0.04) | 50.13% ( -0.03) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.34% ( 0.02) | 37.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% ( 0.02) | 74.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |