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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nice

Marseille
2 - 0
Nice

Maupay (40'), Henrique (53')
Brassier (19'), Rongier (64'), Abdi (78')
Cornelius (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dante (13'), Haise (55'), Cornelius (63'), Rowe (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-4 Nice
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-2 Nice

 Whether the two-week hiatus has harmed Marseille and Nice's penchant for high-scoring affairs remains to be seen, but with the offensive talent on both sides' disposal, that should not be the case. A four-goal stalemate was the result when the two sides locked horns in this exact fixture last season, and an identical result here is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
48.64% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14) 24.4% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 26.96% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (-0.217 -0.22)46.67% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-0.204 -0.2)68.94% (0.202 0.2)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.143 -0.14)19.25% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-0.236 -0.24)50.97% (0.234 0.23)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)31.22% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)67.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 48.64%
    Nice 26.96%
    Draw 24.39%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.64%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 7% (0.053 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
82.5%
Draw
12.3%
Nice
5.3%
57
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Clauss (31'), Aubameyang (56' pen.)
Moumbagna (22')
Moumbagna (45+2')
Moffi (13'), Bard (72')
Moffi (11'), Cho (54'), Sanson (61')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nice
1-0
Marseille
Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Malinovskyi (60')
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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