We said: Brest 2-0 Saint-Etienne
Starting off strongly will be key and ending a run which has seen Brest concede in the opening 25 minutes of five of their last six games could be very important.
Saint-Etienne have a poor recent record against Brest, and Dall'Oglio could see his former side inflict yet another defeat on them here, with the club evidently not fully equipped to compete at this level just yet.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.16) 
