Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Angers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Nice |
32.81% ( 0.14) | 26.32% ( 0.19) | 40.87% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% ( -0.75) | 52.03% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( -0.65) | 73.76% ( 0.65) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% ( -0.28) | 29.81% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% ( -0.34) | 65.89% ( 0.34) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% ( -0.51) | 25.1% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.2% ( -0.71) | 59.8% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.81% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |