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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Austria national football team

Norway
2 - 1
Austria

Myhre (9'), Haaland (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sabitzer (37')
Mwene (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Norway and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Austria
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Norway 0-1 Austria

 Solbakken is under intense pressure to improve Norway's fortunes, but after another feeble performance in Kazakhstan on Friday, the team does not seem to be clicking as well as it could be. Austria's showing at Euro 2024 suggests there is more to come from them under Rangnick, and a win here will really back up their credentials as favourites in Group B3. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawAustria
45.9% (-0.534 -0.53) 25.78% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 28.32% (0.499 0.5)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.125 0.13)51.6% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.108 0.11)73.39% (-0.104 -0.1)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)22.45% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)55.99% (0.294 0.29)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (0.449 0.45)32.76% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68% (0.498 0.5)69.32% (-0.494 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Norway 45.89%
    Austria 28.32%
    Draw 25.78%
NorwayDrawAustria
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 28.32%

How you voted: Norway vs Austria

Norway
38.6%
Draw
15.2%
Austria
46.2%
197
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Austria
1-1
Norway
Grbic (90+4')
Ilsanker (17')
Zahid (61')
Daehli (49'), Ryerson (80'), Fredrik Granli (88')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Norway
1-2
Austria
Braut Haaland (66')
Normann (51'), Linnes (76'), Sorloth (78'), Braut Haaland (86')
Gregoritsch (35'), Sabitzer (54' pen.)
Lainer (67'), Dragovic (87')
> Preview
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