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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
47.64% ( 1.97) | 23.61% ( -0.24) | 28.74% ( -1.73) |
Both teams to score 59.6% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( 0.13) | 41.94% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.66% ( 0.12) | 64.34% ( -0.12) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( 0.84) | 17.81% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.46% ( 1.42) | 48.54% ( -1.42) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -1.09) | 27.48% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( -1.42) | 62.98% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
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