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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Leeds logo

Norwich
1 - 1
Leeds

Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds have largely been defensively excellent this season; they may not be able to keep a clean sheet on Tuesday due to Norwich's quality in the final third of the field, but we are still backing the Whites to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.073 0.07) 22.65% (0.218 0.22) 51.97% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (-0.962 -0.96)40.11% (0.963 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-1.002 -1)62.48% (1.002 1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)28.97% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.57 -0.57)64.87% (0.572 0.57)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.44 -0.44)15.55% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.828 -0.83)44.48% (0.829 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 25.38%
    Leeds United 51.97%
    Draw 22.65%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.197 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.97%

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
34.9%
Draw
14.7%
Leeds United
50.5%
109
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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