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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Leeds United |
25.38% ( 0.07) | 22.65% ( 0.22) | 51.97% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.89% ( -0.96) | 40.11% ( 0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.52% ( -1) | 62.48% ( 1) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% ( -0.46) | 28.97% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% ( -0.57) | 64.87% ( 0.57) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( -0.44) | 15.55% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.52% ( -0.83) | 44.48% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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