MX23RW : Monday, January 20 17:53:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Southampton logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Milenkovic (87'), Elanga (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duran (63')
Duran (70')

The Match

Match Report

Anthony Elanga comes off the bench to score a last-gasp winner as Nottingham Forest produce a late fightback to defeat Aston Villa 2-1 at the City Ground.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Nottingham Forest could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
38.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.49% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.029 0.03)71.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.96% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.050000000000004 0.05)62.43% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 38.94%
    Aston Villa 35.23%
    Draw 25.82%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.23%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
40.1%
Draw
30.0%
Aston Villa
30.0%
287
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
4-2
Nott'm Forest
Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!